Table 1 Table of parameters used in the model

R ₀

Basic reproductive

3, 5, 7, 10

number

γ

Mean latent

2* [27] (Pantin-Jackwood,

period (days)

personal communication)

1/(γ/n _o )

Average duration spent

0.4

in each compartment

during the latent

period (days)

σ

Mean infectious

6* [27] (Pantin-Jackwood,

period (days)

personal communication)

1/(σ/n _o )

Average duration

1.2

spent in each

compartment during

the infectious

period (days)

ρ

Mean time to

8 [24]

sero-conversion

post infection (days)

1/(ρ/n _c )

Average duration

0.8

spent in each

compartment during

the sero-converting

period (days)

Sensitivity (ϕ)

Sensitivity of

95% [20, 28, 29]

rt-PCR test

Specificity

Specificity of

100 % [20, 28, 29]

rt-PCR test

Sensitivity (η)

Sensitivity of

86% [30–32]

HI assay

Specificity

Specificity of

100 % [30–32]

HI assay

N

Population size

5000*

n _o

Number of

5

compartments for

exposed and

infectious periods

n _c

Number of seroconverting

10

compartments

Start time (T _s )

Time infection

0, 7, 20, 40

is introduced (days)