Table 3 Mean estimated day of virus introduction into the barn, across 100 simulated testing observations
Day of entry | R 0 | Weekly sampling | 2 weekly sampling | 4 weekly sampling |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Day 0 | Â | Â | Â | Â |
| Â | 10 | 0.0 (-0.6, 0.5) | 0.1 (-0.7, 0.7) | 0.0 (-2.3, 1.7) |
| Â | 7 | 0.0 (-0.7, 0.6) | 0.0 (-1.1, 0.9) | -0.1 (-1.7, 1.5) |
| Â | 5 | 0.0 (-0.80, 0.9) | -0.3 (-1.8, 1.1) | -1.1 (-3.0, 1.1) |
| Â | 3 | 0.1 (-1.4, 1.4) | 0.0 (-2.3, 1.8) | -0.2 (-2.8, 2.5) |
| Â | 3 2nd cluster | NA | NA | 37.6 (26.7 - 40.0) |
Day 7 | Â | Â | Â | Â |
| Â | 10 | 7.0 (6.3, 7.5) | 7.3 (6.0, 8.5) | 7.2 (5.8, 8.6) |
| Â | 7 | 7.0 (6.4, 7.6) | 6.0 (4.9, 7.3) | 2.6 (1.0, 4.5) |
| Â | 5 | 7.0 (6.1, 7.9) | 7.0 (5.9, 7.9) | 7.2 (5.3, 8.8) |
| Â | 3 | 6.9 (5.3, 8.3) | 7.0 (5.5, 9.0) | 6.6 (4.0, 9.5) |
| Â | 3 2nd cluster | NA | NA | 21.6 (17.1, 25.3) |
Day 20 | Â | Â | Â | Â |
| Â | 10 | 20.0 (19.4, 20.4) | 20.2 (18.9, 21.5) | 18.3 (16.0, 21.0) |
| Â | 10 2nd cluster | NA | NA | 46.6 (44.1, 50.0) |
| Â | 7 | 20.0 (19.4, 20.9) | 19.1 (17.8, 20.3) | 18.0 (15.3, 21.3) |
| Â | 7 2nd cluster | NA | NA | 43.3 (40.5, 46.0) |
| Â | 5 | 20.0 (18.9, 20.7) | 20.0 (19.0, 20.9) | 19.5 (18.1, 20.8) |
| Â | 5 2nd cluster | NA | NA | 34.5 (32.6, 36.6) |
| Â | 3 | 20.1 (18.1, 22.2) | 20.1 (17.7, 23.2) | 19.7 (15.4, 23.4) |
Day 40 | Â | Â | Â | Â |
| Â | 10 | 40.0 (39.4, 40.7) | 40.0 (39.9, 40.8) | 36.0 (34.7, 37.1) |
| Â | 10 2nd cluster | NA | NA | -9.56 (-10.0, -8.5) |
| Â | 7 | 39.8 (38.1, 42.0) | 40.0 (38.5, 41.5) | 40.0 (38.5, 41.4) |
| Â | 5 | 40.0 (36.7, 42.8) | 39.7 (36.5, 42.8) | 40.1 (36.7, 45.2) |
| Â | 5 2nd cluster | NA | NA | 13.3 (11.6, 15.0) |
| Â | 3 | 37.6 (30.2, 43.7) | 35.0 (28.2, 42.7) | 33.5 (28.0, 40.8) |