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Table 4 Fitted distributions for experimental incubation times, Plasmodium vivax malaria

From: The distribution of incubation and relapse times in experimental human infections with the malaria parasite Plasmodium vivax

Distribution

Old World, Tropical

Old World, Temperate

New World, Tropical

New World, Temperate

Global fit, All regions

 

∆ DIC

∆ DIC

∆ DIC

∆ DIC

∆ DIC

Exponential

583.1

111.8

109.8

332.9

917.2

Shifted exponential

114.3

45.5

1.8

141.5

275.0

Mixture exponential

-

-

-

-

919.1

Weibull

76.2

3.7

1.6

0.1

166.4

Shifted Weibull

12.3

2.3

0.2

0.0

33.7

Mixture Weibull

-

-

-

-

40.1

Log-normal

4.7

4.1

1.0

15.4

16.3

Shifted log-normal

2.5

5.5

1.1

17.6

0.4

Mixture log-normal

-

-

-

-

18.3

Log-logistic

3.1

0.0

3.4

16.6

14.2

Shifted log-logistic

0.0

1.5

2.5

18.3

0.0

Mixture log-logistic

-

-

-

-

16.1

Gamma

11.0

1.3

0.6

9.2

40.3

Shifted gamma

6.5

1.6

1.4

11.1

12.5

Mixture gamma

-

-

-

-

2.7

Gompertz

159.4

17.3

0.8

10.6

366.0

Shifted Gompertz

42.6

15.5

0.0

4.9

142.1

Mixture Gompertz

-

-

-

-

100.7

DIC of best-fit model

958.8

345.5

163.6

680.1

2374.6

  1. Note: mixture models showed non-normal posteriors and are not reported.
  2. Best fitting distributions are shown in bold.