Table 2 Final risk models at admission, 24 h and end of calendar day 3
Admission model | 24-h model | End of calendar day 3 model | |
|---|---|---|---|
Admission for pre-surgical preparation | 5.01 (2.23, 11.26) | – | – |
Surgery within 7 days prior to admission a: | |||
Elective/scheduled – no unexpected complications b | 1 | ||
Elective/scheduled – unexpected complications b | 2.51 (0.89, 7.06) | – | – |
Emergency/urgent | 3.61 (2.17, 6.01) | – | – |
No surgery | 5.59 (2.91, 10.75) | – | – |
Surgery within 7 days prior to admission c: | |||
Elective/scheduled | 1 | – | |
Emergency/urgent | – | 2.44 (1.28, 4.63) | – |
No surgery | – | 2.43 (1.12, 5.28) | – |
Pancreatitis | 4.00 (1.75, 9.15) | 3.38 (1.34, 8.56) | 3.01 (1.33, 6.85) |
Number of central venous catheters: | |||
None | 1 | 1 | 1 |
1 | 1.49 (1.04, 2.12) | 3.87 (1.53, 9.78) | 3.65 (1.10, 12.05) |
2 or more | 4.16 (1.81, 9.60) | 13.53 (5.45, 33.60) | 14.79 (4.44, 49.26) |
Number of drains: | |||
None | 1 | 1 | 1 |
1–3 | 1.90 (1.23, 2.93) | 2.04 (1.41, 2.94) | 1.93 (1.26, 2.95) |
4 or more | 5.12 (1.30, 20.10) | 8.05 (2.35, 27.59) | 7.61 (2.61, 22.2) |
Enteral feeding tube in place | 1.52 (1.04, 2.21) | – | – |
Lowest SBP (first 24 h) < 90 mmHg | – | 1.73 (1.21, 2.46) | – |
Highest heart rate (first 24 h) ≥ 100 min−1 | – | 2.35 (1.47, 3.74) | 2.20 (1.24, 3.89) |
Number of samples positive for fungal colonization a: | |||
None or 1 | 1 | – | – |
2 or more | 7.84 (1.54, 39.76) | – | – |
Number of samples positive for fungal colonization c: | |||
None | – | 1 | 1 |
1 or more | – | 6.47 (4.26, 9.84) | 8.21 (4.11, 16.39) |