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Table 4 Different errors for predicting peak value for Region 1 over whole season (2013-2014)

From: A framework for evaluating epidemic forecasts

 

MAE

RMSE

MAPE

sMAPE

MdAPE

MdsAPE

Method 1

4992.0

9838.6

4.9

1.04

1.7

1.03

Method 2

4825.2

9770.4

4.7

0.99

1.4

0.95

Method 3

3263.0

5146.5

3.2

0.96

1.5

1.01

Method 4

2990.7

4651.3

2.9

0.899

1.1

0.85

Method 5

3523.2

5334.8

3.4

0.95

2.1

1.01

Method 6

3310.9

4948.5

3.2

0.896

1.5

0.85