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Table 3 Sensitivity analysis with additional moving average scenarios

From: Early warning signal for dengue outbreaks and identification of high risk areas for dengue fever in Colombia using climate and non-climate datasets

Scenario

HR (sensitivity)

FAR

Specificity

Positive Predictive Value

Negative Predictive Value

12 month MA

87.5%

3.1%

96.9%

91.3%

95.4%

6 month MA

75.0%

4.7%

95.3%

85.7%

91.0%

Current value (no MA)

83.3%

6.3%

93.8%

83.3%

93.8%