Variables | Values | Source |
---|---|---|
Population size (number of individuals) | Miami-Dade (2,169,349), Montgomery (77, 820) | |
Total number of daily contacts between individuals | Miami-Dade (55,187,587), Montgomery (2,019,222) | |
Transmission rate | Miami-Dade (0.00010), Montgomery (0.00018) | Calibrated for each region to generate an attack rate of 25% in both the regions |
Attack rate (Cumulative infections) | 25% | [42] |
Serial interval | Miami-Dade (2.65 days), Montgomery (2.59 days) | Estimated from our disease model [43] |
Interventions | Vaccination and/or social distancing | Â |
Latent period | 1 day [s.d.: 0.63] | |
Infectious period | 2 days [s.d.: 1.06] | |
Symptomatic proportion | 67% | [46] |
Asymptomatic infectivity | 33% | |
Vaccine efficacy | 20%, 40%, 60% | [50] |
Simulation days | 200 days | Assumed |
Initial number of infections (seeds) | 20 for both Miami-Dade and Montgomery | Assumed |
Initial number of susceptible individuals | Everyone, except the seeds | Assumed |
Number of replicates | 25 | Assumed |
Number of scenarios | 2 (compliance probability estimated with, and without predictors) | Â |