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Table 4 The discriminating ability of the final model (F)

From: Prediction of dengue outbreaks based on disease surveillance, meteorological and socio-economic data

Prediction Accuracy

Epidemic constant threshold monthly average cases (2008−2015) = 790 cases

Epidemic moving threshold (mean of a moving window over preeding 5 years + 2 SD)

Sensitivity

87.0

100.0

Specificity

92.60

57.14

PPV

95.72

90.62

NPV

78.80

100.0