Table 2 Comparison of SARIMA models
From: Time series analysis of mumps and meteorological factors in Beijing, China
Model A | Model B | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
β | SE(β) | T | P-value | β | SE(β) | T | P-value | |
AR1 | -0.707 | 0.177 | 4.005 | <0.001 | 0.945 | 0.027 | 35.645 | <0.001 |
MA1 | 0.778 | 0.154 | 5.057 | <0.001 | -1.000 | 0.016 | 62.893 | <0.001 |
SAR1 | -0.454 | 0.060 | 7.576 | <0.001 | / | |||
SMA1 | / | -0.688 | 0.057 | 12.148 | <0.001 | |||
Log likelihood | 19.61 | 34.98 | ||||||
df | 9 | 9 | ||||||
P-value of Ljung-Box Q test | 0.341 | 0.437 | ||||||
AIC | -33.22 | -63.96 | ||||||