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Table 1 Comparison of five candidate seasonal ARIMA models

From: Time series analysis of human brucellosis in mainland China by using Elman and Jordan recurrent neural networks

Model

CAIC

Ljung-Box Q

P value

ARIMA (0,1,1) × (0,1,1)12

799.923

22.787

0.199

ARIMA (0,1,1) × (1,1,0)12

817.906

22.472

0.212

ARIMA (0,1,1) × (2,1,0)12

813.588

25.848

0.103

ARIMA (2,1,0) × (0,1,1)12

798.731

26.107

0.097

ARIMA (2,1,0) × (1,1,0)12

823.300

22.852

0.196