Concordance rate | Kappa Coefficient | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bubonic plague | ||||||
2002–2007 | 86% | 0.70 [0.67–0.73] | 100% [99.7–100%] | 67% [64–70%] | 80% [78–82%] | 100% [99–100%] |
2017–2018 | 94% | 0.86 [0.67–1.04] | 100% [85–100%] | 82% [48–98%] | 92% [73–99%] | 100% [66–100%] |
2018–2019 | 85% | 0.70 [0.59–0.81] | 100% [94–100%] | 76% [66–84%] | 71% [60–81%] | 100% [95–100%] |
Pneumonic plague | ||||||
2002–2007 | 70% | 0.43 [0.32–0.55] | 100% [91–100%] | 59% [49–68%] | 47% [36–58%] | 100% [94–100%] |
2017–2018 | 61% | - 0.03 [−0.17–0.10] | 25% [1–81%] | 63% [50–75%] | 4% [0–21%] | 93% [81–99%] |
2018–2019 | 85% | 0.64 [0.39–0.89] | 100% [63–100%] | 82% [65–93%] | 57% [29–82%] | 100% [87–100%] |