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Table 5 Comparative interrupted time series analysis of monthly treatment success and loss to follow-up rates

From: Tuberculosis among economic migrants: a cross-sectional study of the risk of poor treatment outcomes and impact of a treatment adherence intervention among temporary residents in an urban district in Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam

 

Treatment success

Loss to follow-up

IRR┼

95% CI

p-valueÞ

IRR‡

95% CI

p-valueÞ

Baseline rate (β0)¥

0.85

[0.83, 0.87]

< 0.001

0.05

[0.03, 0.09]

< 0.001

Pre-intervention trend, control (β1)

1.00

[1.00, 1.00]

0.624

0.96

[0.92, 0.99]

0.024

Post-intervention step change, control (β2)

1.00

[0.97, 1.03]

0.971

2.41

[0.97, 6.00]

0.059

Post-intervention trend, control (β3)

1.00

[1.00, 1.00]

0.382

1.04

[1.00, 1.09]

0.050

Difference in baseline (β4)

1.00

[0.95, 1.05]

0.909

1.91

[0.97, 3.76]

0.060

Difference in pre-intervention trends (β5)

1.00

[1.00, 1.00]

0.541

1.02

[0.98, 1.07]

0.305

Difference in post-intervention step change (β6)

1.07

[1.00, 1.15]

0.041

0.17

[0.04, 0.69]

0.013

Difference in post-intervention trends (β7)

1.00

[1.00, 1.00]

0.435

0.90

[0.83, 0.98]

0.019

  1. Notes
  2. All patients in intervention and control districts, January 2011 to March 2017
  3. ¥The parameters were obtained for a segmented regression model with the following structure: Yt = β0 + β1Tt + β2Xt + β3XtTt + β4Z + β5ZTt + β6ZXt + β6ZXtTt;+ϵt. Here Yt is the outcome measure along time t; Tt is the monthly time counter; Xt indicates pre- and post-intervention periods, Z denotes the intervention cohort, and ZTt, ZXt, and ZXtTt are interaction terms. β0 to β3 relate to the control group as follows: β0, intercept; β1, pre-intervention trend; β2, post-intervention step change; β3, post-intervention trend. β4 to β7 represent differences between the control and intervention districts: β4, difference in baseline intercepts; β5, difference in pre-intervention trends; β6, difference in post-intervention step changes; β7, difference in post-intervention trend
  4. ┼IRR based on log-linear Poisson regression with robust standard error estimations;
  5. ‡IRR based on log-linear GEE Poisson regression with an autoregressive correlation structure with lag order 2;
  6. ÞWald test;