From: Explaining age disparities in tuberculosis burden in Taiwan: a modelling study
Model | Indicators | Posterior parameter distribution | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DIC | logL | m0 | m1 | m2 | m3 | |||||||
γ | bbase | σ(C) | σ(E) | bini | bend | t0 | w(A) | w(E) | ε | |||
m0 | 9090 | − 4546 (− 4552,-4541) | 1.78 (1.33, 2.41) | 7.70 (6.09, 9.86) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Single-mechanism model | ||||||||||||
m1 | 3288 | − 1643 (− 1651, − 1638) | 1.33 (1.32, 1.39) | 5.35 (5.25, 5.55) | 0.100 (0.100, 0.100) | 9.99 (9.93, 10.0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
m2 | 3099 | − 3048 (− 3055, − 3043) | 2.96 (2.81, 3.03) | - | - | - | 9.90 (9.47, 10.0) | 2.02e-3 (4.05e-4, 8.67e-3) | 1957.0 (1957.0, 1957.1) | - | - | - |
m3 | 2455 | − 1228 (− 1235, − 1223) | 7.24 (5.87, 7.65) | 15.2 (12.4, 16.4) | - | - | - | - | - | 3.54 (3.46, 3.59) | 5.00 (4.98, 5.00) | 1.01e-2 (1.00e-2, 1.03e-2) |
Two-mechanism model | ||||||||||||
m12 | − 1159 | 437 (432, 440) | 1.98 (1.37, 2.54) | - | 0.101 (0.100, 0.106) | 9.06 (8.25, 9.82) | 8.48 (6.29, 9.91) | 0.593 (0.203, 1.06) | 1986.0 (1977.3, 1989.9) | - | - | - |
m13 | − 242 | 118 (113, 122) | 3.23 (1.36, 7.50) | 10.9 (5.50, 23.7) | 0.104 (0.100, 0.119) | 1.02 (1.00, 1.09) | - | - | - | 1.57 (1.46, 1.80) | 4.80 (4.23, 4.99) | 0.165 (0.127, 0.201) |
m23 | 1012 | − 504 (− 512, − 498) | 7.39 (6.45, 7.66) | - | - | - | 28.2 (24.8, 30.0) | 4.64 (3.93, 5.23) | 1957.2 (1957.0, 1957.8) | 2.06 (1.98, 2.13) | 5.00 (4.99, 5.00) | 1.00e-2 (1.00e-2, 1.02e-2) |
Three-mechanism model (‘full’ model) | ||||||||||||
m123 | − 5825 | 462 (458, 464) | 5.94 (2.83, 7.58) | - | 0.137 (0.103, 0.209) | 5.50 (3.79, 7.62) | 8.99 (4.34, 13.7) | 4.02 (1.84, 6.55) | 1999.9 (1998.3, 2001.5) | 1.76 (1.25, 2.70) | 1.49 (1.10, 2.10) | 0.217 (0.035, 0.455) |