Fig. 2
From: Dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Ireland under mitigation
Reconstruction of the observed dynamics of COVID-19 in Ireland. A The time evolution of both β(t) and Reff (t). B Simulated observed daily incident infectious. C-D New daily admissions to hospital and to ICU. (E) Daily new deaths. F Hospital discharges. G-H Cases in Hospital and in ICU each day. The black points are observations used by the inference process, the white points are the observations not used. The blue lines are the median of the posterior of the simulated trajectories, the mauve areas are the 50% Credible Intervals (CI) and the light blue areas the 95% CI. In (A) the orange area is the 50% CI of Reff, the vertical dashed lines show the date of the main NPI measures and the horizontal dashed-line Reff = 1. For all the graphs, the reporting rates are applied to the model trajectories (Fig. 3) as during the inference process for comparison to the observations