Fig. 3From: Dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Ireland under mitigationDynamics of COVID-19 in Ireland. A Time evolution of both susceptibles S(t) and Reff (t). (B) Infected non infectious, E(t) = E1(t) + E2(t). C Symptomatic infectious I(t) = I1(t) + I2(t). D Asymptomatic infectious A(t) = A1(t) + A2(t). (E) Hospitalized people H(t) = H1(t) + H2(t) + ICU(t). F People in ICU, ICU(t). G Cumulative death D(t). (H) Removed R(t). The blue lines are the median of the posterior of the simulated trajectories, the mauve areas are the 50% Credible Intervals (CI) and the light blue areas the 95% CI. In (A) the orange area is the 50% CI of Reff and the horizontal dashed-line indicates Reff = 1. In (H) the red line shows the median of R(t) when the “effectively protected vaccinated people” (see eq. A2) have been subtracted. The black points are observations used by the inference process, the white points are the observations not usedBack to article page