Fig. 5
Epidemic Simulation Using Matrices on Physical Contacts from Uganda (a) and Great Britain (b), for a Hypothetical Respiratory Infection In An Immune-Naïve Population, with the Proportion Infected by Age Group (c), the Epidemic Size by Age group (d), the Overall Proportion Infected (d) and the Basic Reproduction Number R0 (F). a: Matrix for physical contacts in Uganda. b: Matrix of physical contacts in Great Britain. c: Epidemic final size simulation: Proportion of individuals infected by age group in Great Britain (blue) and Uganda (grey), with error bars representing the 95% confidence interval. The results are presented for a q value of 33%. e: Epidemic size by age group, based on a total population size of 100,000 in Great Britain and in Uganda. e: Total proportion of people who were infected at the end of the epidemic in each setting. f: Estimates of R0for each setting, based on aq value of 33%, with dots showing the mean value and the bars showing the 95%