Fig. 6
From: Summary results of the 2014-2015 DARPA Chikungunya challenge
Weekly simulation of reported chikungunya cases in (a) Puerto Rico and (b) Saint Barthelemy from Participant 5. Simulations are one-month forecasts for February 2015. Red circles represent reported cases and each light blue line represents one of 2000 simulated outbreaks. Dark blue line is median used for prediction and dashed lines are 95% prediction intervals