Parameters | OR (95% CI) | P value | Cutoff value | AUC (95% CI) | SEN | SPE | PPV | NPV | LR+ | LR- |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age (years) | 1.135 (1.037–1.243) | 0.006 | > 72 | 0.706 (0.640–0.767) | 56.2 | 74.5 | 53.9 | 76.1 | 2.2 | 0.59 |
> 74 | 46.6 | 81.8 | 57.6 | 74.2 | 2.55 | 0.65 | ||||
lactate (mmol/L) | 2.592 (1.06–6.34) | 0.037 | > 1.17 | 0.757 (0.674–0.828) | 85.5 | 52 | 56.6 | 83 | 1.78 | 0.28 |
> 2.1 | 38.2 | 94.7 | 84 | 67.6 | 7.16 | 0.65 | ||||
Hs-CRP (mmol/L) | 1.058 (1.007–1.11) | 0.024 | > 6.3 | 0.729 (0.69–0.789) | 81.7 | 54.7 | 48.3 | 85.2 | 1.81 | 0.33 |
> 3.14 | 25.4 | 95.6 | 75 | 71.2 | 5.79 | 0.78 | ||||
AST (U/L) | 1.002 (1.000–1.003) | 0.01 | > 203 | 0.779 (0.717–0.834) | 78.8 | 66.4 | 54.9 | 85.8 | 2.35 | 0.32 |
> 722 | 39.4 | 95.6 | 82.4 | 75.3 | 9 | 0.63 | ||||
qSOFA | 2.364 (1.142–4.89) | 0.02 | > 0 | 0.818 (0.759–0.867) | 83.6 | 71.5 | 61 | 89.1 | 2.94 | 0.23 |
> 1 | 39.7 | 97.1 | 87.9 | 75.1 | 13.6 | 0.62 | ||||
SIRS | 2.377 (1.025–2.581) | 0.008 | > 1 | 0.778 (0.716–0.833) | 68.5 | 76.6 | 61 | 82 | 2.93 | 0.41 |
> 2 | 35.6 | 94.9 | 78 | 73.4 | 6.97 | 0.68 | ||||
M1 | 3.144 (2.319–4.263) | < 0.0001 | > 10.272 | 0.909 (0.862–0.944) | 72.6 | 94.2 | 86.9 | 86.6 | 12.43 | 0.29 |
M2 | 3.508 (2.506–4.910) | < 0.0001 | > 8.544 | 0.886 (0.835–0.926) | 87.7 | 75.5 | 64.6 | 91.9 | 3.43 | 0.17 |
> 9.942 | 58.9 | 97.8 | 26.9 | 0.42 | 26.9 | 0.42 | ||||
M3 | 3.11 (2.286–4.231) | < 0.0001 | > 9.3 | 0.883 (0.831–0.923) | 73.97 | 89.78 | 79.4 | 86.6 | 7.24 | 0.29 |
M4 | 3.533 (2.494–5.005) | < 0.0001 | > 8.64 | 0.885 (0.801–0.900) | 69.86 | 89.78 | 78.5 | 84.8 | 6.84 | 0.34 |
M5 | 2.508 (1.951–3.223) | < 0.0001 | > 13.68 | 0.924 (0.879–0.956) | 82.2 | 87.6 | 77.9 | 90.2 | 6.62 | 0.2 |