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Table 4 Comparison of the three models in fitting and prediction performance

From: Research on the predictive effect of a combined model of ARIMA and neural networks on human brucellosis in Shanxi Province, China: a time series predictive analysis

Model

Fitting performance

Prediction performance

MAE

MSE

MAPE (%)

MAE

MSE

MAPE (%)

ARIMA

0.1319

0.0305

12.01

0.1728

0.0417

26.23

ARIMA-BPNN

0.1187

0.0248

10.45

0.1006

0.0190

13.28

ARIMA-ERNN

0.1073

0.0209

9.24

0.0688

0.0103

9.35

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BMC Infectious Diseases

ISSN: 1471-2334

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