Fig. 4
From: Dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Ireland under mitigation
Estimation of the sero-prevalence and comparison with the value from a serological survey study [19]. The blue lines are the median of the posterior of the simulated trajectories, the mauve areas are the 50% CI and the light blue areas the 95% CI. The black line, around June–July, is for the median value of the serological survey, the orange area is for its 95%CI. The red line shows the median of sero-prevalence without the effect of vaccination simply by subtracting from the removed (R(t)) the “effectively protected vaccinated people” (see eq. A2) and the dashed red lines its 95%CI