Table 3 The forecast RMSEs and the MAPEs from models (with raw data from 2013 to 2019) in 5 stages
| Â | Stage | SARIMA | Holt-Winters | NNAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasting MAPE | Jan. 2020 to May.2020 | 84.37% | 75.03% | 80.55% |
Jun. 2020 to Feb. 2021 | 28.40% | 19.53% | 29.90% | |
Mar. 2021 to Nov. 2022 | 9.17% | 6.98% | 9.36% | |
Dec. 2022 to Jan. 2023 | 97.32% | 74.94% | 92.24% | |
In Feb. 2023 | 3.31% | 11.75% | 4.98% | |
Forecasting RMSE | Jan. 2020 to May.2020 | 1259.90 | 1126.58 | 1190.66 |
Jun. 2020 to Feb. 2021 | 542.20 | 385.02 | 537.57 | |
Mar. 2021 to Nov. 2022 | 240.09 | 203.50 | 234.34 | |
Dec. 2022 to Jan. 2023 | 1203.54 | 921.74 | 1078.16 | |
In Feb. 2023 | 73.00 | 259.32 | 109.98 |